If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
52
Ṁ100Ṁ2.5kDec 31
38%
chance
7
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before April 1, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
17% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
39% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?
34% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
54% chance
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
38% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
38% chance
Iran directly attacks U.S. in 2026?
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
66% chance