MANIFOLD
How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?
4
Ṁ250Ṁ241
2027
32 Representatives
expected
81%
0 - 19
3%
20 - 39
3%
40 - 59
3%
60 - 79
1.9%
80 - 99
1.9%
100 - 149
2%
150 - 199
1.9%
200 - 299
1.9%
300 - 400

  • Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only Representatives who are actively seeking renomination will count toward the total. Representatives who retire, resign, or choose not to run for re-election will not be counted as losses.

  • Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Renomination specifically refers to losing in the primary election, not the general election.

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Key word: renomination. This is losing in the primary

bought Ṁ10 YES

Note: It only counts for those actively seeking renomination

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