When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?
26
Ṁ1.1kṀ2.6k2050
50%
Before 2027
52%
Before 2028
56%
Before 2032
58%
Before 2035
58%
Before 2030
61%
Before 2040
64%
Before 2045
71%
Before 2050
Resolved
N/AThe government is not going to fall. It may transform in the future, but Libyan style collapse is not expected.
Resolves based on the date when Wikipedia says the Islamic republic of Iran ends.
May also resolve if there are substantial internal reforms that do not end the government but transform it substantially away from its current form. There must be an entry in the "Formation" section of Iran's Wikipedia page for this to count:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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