MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
15
Ṁ600Ṁ930
2031
17%
Other
13%
Fernando Haddad
11%
Ronaldo Caiado
11%
Tarcísio de Freitas
11%
Jair Bolsonaro
9%
Flávio Bolsonaro
8%
Flávio Dino
4%
Pablo Marçal
4%
Gusttavo Lima
3%
Ratinho Junior
3%
Rosângela Lula da Silva
2%
Romeu Zema
1.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.4%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1.4%
Simone Tebet

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.

This market's closing date, currently 6 January 2031, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.

If no presidential election is held in Brazil in 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.

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